Two strong storm systems are expected to brush Oklahoma over the next seven days, bringing limited chances for thunderstorms.
One system will pass through the area Wednesday afternoon and evening, while a stronger system is expected to influence the region later in the week, primarily on Friday. Both systems could produce a few thunderstorms near or east of our area, including the potential for severe threats.
However, the limiting factor will be the availability of low-level moisture. Current data indicates that low-level moisture may remain just east of our immediate areas of concern for the Wednesday system but may be closer for the Friday storm.
Despite this, both systems will have sufficient energy to potentially develop thunderstorms, including severe weather threats. The probability of thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon and evening remains near or below 10%, mainly along or east of the Highway 69–75 corridor.
The stronger system expected on Friday has a slightly better chance of producing thunderstorms, primarily along and east of the Highway 69 corridor region.
Additionally, fire danger will remain a concern throughout the week. Elevated fire spread rates are also expected today and tomorrow as temperatures climb above seasonal averages, reaching the mid to upper 70s to lower 80s on both days.
On Wednesday, strong south winds will increase to 15 to 25 mph, raising fire spread rates. Fire danger may escalate to a high category on Friday near and west of the metro, despite the approaching storm system, if its timing remains consistent.
A dry line—a boundary separating moist air to the east from dry air to the west—will move across the area Friday afternoon.
Locations west of this line, combined with dry vegetation and strong southwest winds, are expected to experience exceptionally high fire danger rates.
Afternoon highs today are expected to reach the mid to upper 70s under sunny skies.
Tuesday morning will start in the upper 40s, with daytime highs nearing the lower 80s.
On Wednesday, as the first storm system approaches, morning lows will be around 50, with highs in the mid to upper 70s. After the system departs Wednesday evening, the air mass will remain unchanged.
Thursday morning lows will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s, with highs approaching 80.
Very strong winds are likely on Friday, with morning lows near 60 and highs in the mid-70s.
After a limited chance of thunderstorms across far eastern sections of the state and an increasingly high fire danger west of Tulsa Friday afternoon, highs will remain in the mid-70s.
A cold front will pass through late Friday night, bringing some minor changes for the weekend.
Saturday morning will start with lows in the 40s with highs in the lower 60s, and Sunday will feature highs in the 70s.
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Northeast Oklahoma has various power companies and electric cooperatives, many of which have overlapping areas of coverage. Below is a link to various outage maps.
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Spotify:
https://open.spotify.com/episode/34ItGhBCz0SIcS1uJytUbk
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Apple:
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