Scattered storms in southern Oklahoma this morning, more rain chances ahead
A Few Storms South This Morning
Early this morning, scattered showers and storms will affect areas from southwestern to south-central and southeastern Oklahoma, extending across the Red River into North Texas.
Most of this activity is expected to stay south of the immediate Tulsa metro area and will likely dissipate by late morning.
Temperatures this morning will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s, rising to the upper 70s and near 80 this afternoon.
Southeast winds of 7–12 mph are likely with a sun-cloud mix.
Tracking A Few Additional Storm Chances Soon
The front that moved through the area early Tuesday morning will shift north later today as a weak warm front, reaching northern Oklahoma later tonight.
Early Thursday morning, as this front lifts northeast, there is a slight chance for a few showers and storms near and north of the boundary.
Data trends indicate that meaningful precipitation is likely to remain north or northeast of the Tulsa metro Thursday morning. However, a low-end probability for isolated showers and storms will be maintained.
Thursday morning will be mild, with lows in the mid and upper 50s, while daytime highs behind the warm front are expected to range from the lower to mid-80s. South winds will be increasing to 15–30 mph.
Despite a modest increase in low-level moisture, fire spread rates will remain a concern.
The Outlook for Friday
Late Thursday night into early Friday morning, another disturbance will move into the region from North Texas, affecting southeastern Oklahoma.
Precipitation from this system will primarily be limited to southeastern and east-central Oklahoma and western Arkansas, with the Tulsa metro likely on the far western edge of its impact.
South winds of 15–30 mph will persist on Friday under mostly cloudy skies.
Morning lows will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s, and afternoon highs will reach the lower to 70s.
In Tulsa, the chance of measurable precipitation stands at 20–30%, with higher probabilities in southeastern Oklahoma, where localized pockets of heavy rainfall may occur. Severe weather is unlikely with this system.
Any Storms This Weekend?
Heading into the weekend, gusty south winds of 20–30 mph will bring moisture from Texas into Oklahoma ahead of a developing storm system.
Although humidity will increase, fire spread rates will continue to be a concern.
A warm layer of air aloft (a "cap") may suppress thunderstorm activity for most of Saturday. By late Saturday night, a surface low-pressure system will move from west to east across northern Oklahoma, accompanied by an advancing dryline.
Saturday morning will feature mild temperatures near 60 and daytime highs in the lower 80s under partly cloudy skies, with continued strong south winds of 20–30 mph.
Scattered thunderstorms may develop late Saturday night into early Sunday morning in northeastern Oklahoma.
While precipitation coverage is expected to be limited, any storms that do develop could become strong to severe, with all modes of severe weather possible.
By early Sunday morning, these features are likely to progress quickly eastward, taking storm chances into neighboring states where severe weather risks will increase.
If the system slows down, additional strong to severe storms may impact far eastern Oklahoma before moving into Arkansas.
Behind the front, winds will shift northwest at 15–30 mph. Sunday morning temperatures will remain in the upper 50s to lower 60s, with afternoon highs reaching the mid-70s.
The Active Pattern Continues Next Week
A cold front will move through Sunday afternoon, ushering in cooler weather for Monday.
Morning lows on Monday will dip into the upper 30s and lower 40s, followed by highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s in northern Oklahoma and mid-60s in southeastern Oklahoma.
The weather pattern remains active next week, with more chances for showers and storms expected by midweek.
Need-to-know severe weather prep:
🔗Severe weather safety: what you need to know to prepare
🔗Tornado Watch vs. Tornado Warning: what they mean and what to do
🔗Severe weather safety: what to do before, during, and after a storm
Wildfire Prep:
🔗What is a controlled burn? Rules on when and how you can safely do them
🔗Oklahoma Forestry Service prepares firefighters for potential wildfire threats
🔗How to protect your home from wildfires: Tips from experts
🔗Oklahoma fire danger: How rural fire departments prepare for days of extreme danger
🔗Red Cross shares tips for preparing wildfires
Emergency Info: Outages Across Oklahoma:
Northeast Oklahoma has various power companies and electric cooperatives, many of which have overlapping areas of coverage. Below is a link to various outage maps.
- PSO Outage Map
- OG&E Outage Map
- VVEC Outage Map
- Indian Electric Cooperative (IEC) Outage Map
- Oklahoma Association of Electric Cooperatives Outage Map — (Note Several Smaller Co-ops Included)
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Spotify:
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6bIc2Ll44LIP1Fyq0DuGok
The Alan Crone morning weather podcast link from Apple:
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